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Singapore Core Inflation Rises to 2.8% in Sep 2024

Singapore's core inflation rose to 2.8% in September 2024, while overall inflation eased to 2.0%, reflecting mixed price pressures across retail goods and transport costs.

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Archive · 23 Oct 2024
Singapore Core Inflation Rises to 2.8% in Sep 2024
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KEY POINTS

  • ●MAS core inflation increased to 2.8% in September 2024, up from 2.7% in August, driven by higher retail and other goods prices
  • ●CPI-All Items inflation fell to 2.0% in September from 2.2% in August, mainly due to falling private transport costs
  • ●Services inflation stayed flat overall, but telecommunications fees dropped while tuition, holiday, and health insurance costs rose
  • ●Core inflation is forecast to moderate to around 2% by end of 2024, then drop to 1.5–2.5% in 2025
  • ●Future inflation risks include labour market strength and global political tensions, while global slowdown could ease price pressures

IN SIMPLE TERMS

Singapore's prices are moving in different directions: some things like goods and services cost more, but private transport got cheaper. The central bank expects prices to settle down to around 2% by the end of the year.

WHY IT MATTERS

Households face mixed cost pressures—eating out is cheaper to increase, but tuition and health insurance costs are rising faster.
Businesses in retail and services must adjust pricing strategies as different sectors face different cost pressures.
Housing rental increases are slowing, which could ease affordability pressures for renters over time.
Monetary policy decisions depend on inflation trends; moderating core inflation may influence interest rate settings.

WHERE DO YOU STAND?

Do you think these inflation trends will significantly affect your daily spending in the coming months?

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The Full Story
  1. MAS Core Inflation rose to 2.8% in September 2024.
  2. CPI-All Items Inflation eased to 2.0% in the same month.
  3. Core inflation rates are expected to moderate gradually and reach about 2% by the end of 2024.

Singapore’s inflation rates show mixed trends in September 2024, with core inflation rising slightly while overall inflation eases.

Key Terms Simplified

  • MAS Core Inflation measures price changes for most things we buy, leaving out big changes in rent and car costs.
  • CPI-All Items Inflation measures price changes of a fixed basket of typical household goods and services over time.
  • Year-on-year (y-o-y) compares prices now to prices at the same time last year.

According to MTI, Singapore’s inflation rates showed mixed trends in September 2024.

MAS Core Inflation went up to 2.8% year-on-year in September.

This was a slight increase from 2.7% in August 2024.

The rise was mainly due to higher prices for retail goods and other items.

On the other hand, CPI-All Items Inflation went down to 2.0% year-on-year in September.

This was lower than the 2.2% recorded in August 2024.

The drop was largely because of falling private transport costs.

Key Factors Influencing Inflation

Several factors affected Singapore’s inflation rates in September 2024:

  • Retail and other goods prices went up
  • Private transport costs fell sharply
  • Housing rent increases slowed down
  • Food service prices rose at a slower pace
  • Electricity and gas prices increased more slowly

These changes in various sectors led to the mixed inflation trends observed in September.

Services and Food Sectors

The services sector saw some interesting developments in September 2024.

Overall services inflation remained unchanged.

However, there were shifts within different service categories.

Telecommunications fees dropped, which would normally lower inflation.

But this was balanced out by rising costs in other areas.

Tuition fees, holiday expenses, and health insurance costs all went up.

In the food sector, there was some change for consumers.

Food inflation decreased as food service prices rose at a slower pace than before.

This means that the cost of eating out increased more slowly compared to previous months.

Future Inflation Outlook

Looking ahead, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) has made some predictions about future inflation rates.

Inflation Measure2024 Forecast2025 Forecast
MAS Core Inflation2.5% – 3.0%1.5% – 2.5%
CPI-All Items InflationAround 2.5%1.5% – 2.5%

MAS expects Core Inflation to gradually decrease to about 2% by the end of 2024.

CPI-All Items inflation is predicted to stay around 2.5% for all of 2024.

For 2025, it’s expected to be between 1.5% and 2.5% on average.

Factors That Could Affect Future Inflation

Several factors could influence Singapore’s inflation rates in the coming months:

  • Changes in the job market
  • Global political tensions affecting commodity prices
  • Possible global economic slowdown

These factors create both risks and opportunities for Singapore’s economy.

A strong job market could push prices up, while a global slowdown might lower inflation.

Impact on Consumers and Businesses

The inflation trends have real-world effects on people and businesses in Singapore.

Consumers might see their daily expenses change as prices for different goods and services shift.

For example, while eating out costs continue to rise but more slowly, other costs like tuition fees could go up.

Businesses, especially those in the retail and service sectors, may need to adjust their pricing strategies.

They’ll need to balance rising costs with changing consumer spending habits.

The housing market may also see changes, with slower increases in rental prices expected.

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